Wednesday pixs

Ball State +15
Ohio +2
Drake -3
James Madison +12
La Salle +2
East Carolina +5
Duke +2 (yeah, you read that right!)

These are all the ones with a delta of 3 or greater after factoring the ranking, spread and 3.53 pts for the home team. The new formula blends the rankings between point margins in previous games with outright wins or losses and the home advantage has been lowered from 4.00 to 3.53.

pre-game update

Screwed up in the Skillz tourney. It was fun, but I really messed up the final table with too much limping and folding the nuts on the flop because of possible draws. Oh well, maybe next week.

I went 3-2 on last nights ncaa b-ball and 8-8 overall. Thus for the season I am
11-7 but the parlay crap crushed my bankroll. I will do one more trial run tonight to see if the trends for the new system are positive or not.

New picks

They tried to break me Saturady. I have to admit, I did a lot of soul searching Sunday, but I have re-tweaked my formula and dropped the parlay bullcrap.

Tonight is test run for the new system to make sure I am back on track before I teach those crocks a serious lesson tomorrow.

In order of confidence:
Miami (ohio) -7.5: Central Michigan is too bad and being at home won't help

Hofstra +1.5: two evenly matched teams, but Hofstra is at home getting points

Florida State -10: FL state is too much better and at home

The next two technically didn't make the cut, but not that much else to look at tonight.

OK State +8.5: evenly matched teams but texas is giving up too many points

Florida +4.5: Florida is slightly better and getting points so home field adv won't help Kentucky

Also, I might play the blogger Skillz game tonight while I watch the games.

Basketball picks

Basketball here I come.

I am just trying it out, but I started with two pro and two college picks with a two team parlay for each.

2-0 in NCAA
0-2 in NBA

2 Team Parlay
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
(731) Maryland +21½ Tue@8:00p
Competitor:(732) North Carolina
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
(733) Northern Iowa +2 Tue@8:00p
Competitor:(734) Bradley


Single
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
(733) Northern Iowa +2 Tue@8:00p
Competitor:(734) Bradley


Single
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
(731) Maryland +21½ Tue@8:00p
Competitor:(732) North Carolina

Single
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(711) San Antonio Spurs +6 Tue@9:05p
Competitor:(712) Denver Nuggets

Single
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(707) Milwaukee Bucks +4½ Tue@7:35p
Competitor:(708) New Jersey Nets


2 Team Parlay
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(707) Milwaukee Bucks +4½ Tue@7:35p
Competitor:(708) New Jersey Nets
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
(711) San Antonio Spurs +6 Tue@9:05p
Competitor:(712) Denver Nuggets

This weeks football bets

Six points is too much to give up when both of the pre-season wins by Pitt should not have happened. Yea, the Ravens are pretty tired and banged up, but Pitt is not that much better than the Ravens and the majority of scenarios have the Ravens covering in a close game.

Also, I don't like Philly that much, but I just don't trust the "new" Cardinals.

Balt +6
Philly -3.5

Playoff pics

Alright, here are the lead pipe locks of the minute:

Balt +3 (D and D)
Ariz +9.5 (D and D)
Philly +4 (D)
SD +6 (D)

football update

Did well in the beginning for both, but got crushed in the pros at the end.

Pro: 14-18
College: 43-28-1

Still 7 more pro games to go and some college bowls, but I think I will just do the last 7 pro games.